v3 cap-continuation 1-1.5M FRESH WIDE
Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #728 · updated 23 Oct 07:13 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=15
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$7.83
Trades done
4
1 up, 3 down
Best trade
3.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1-1.5M, pool age<=180m, stop .5 trail 70%
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 119 trades, mean 1.27x, +$323.36 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d84964 | 23 Oct 01:32 | $10 | trail | 0.43x (-57.3%) -$5.73 |
| 3 | 0xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda6 | 22 Oct 05:07 | $10 | trail | 0.49x (-50.7%) -$5.07 |
| 2 | 0x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb83 | 21 Oct 02:15 | $10 | time | 3.39x (+239.4%) +$23.94 |
| 1 | 0xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee | 21 Oct 01:19 | $10 | trail | 0.47x (-53.1%) -$5.31 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3cx1 paper (testmgr4) 23 Oct 00:13 UTC 1-1.5M FRESH (age<=180m) WIDE exit hunt 3-5M. Open legs 0. - H: n 123, mean 1.27x, median 0.47x, win 19, pull 1, time 17