v3 cap-continuation 1-2M VERY FRESH
Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 23 Oct · idea #3840 (ledger pending) · updated 23 Oct 17:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: cron install pending (ops); fwd n>=15
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 27 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$20.23
Trades done
2
1 up, 1 down
Best trade
3.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1-2M, pool age<=60m, stop .7 trail 50%
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 123 trades, mean 1.11x, +$135.78 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb83 | 21 Oct 02:15 | $10 | time | 3.39x (+239.4%) +$23.94 |
| 1 | 0xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee | 21 Oct 01:19 | $10 | trail | 0.63x (-37.1%) -$3.71 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3cf3 paper (testmgr4) 23 Oct 10:02 UTC 1-2M VERY FRESH (age<=60m) hunt 1-3M. Open legs 0. - H: n 125, mean 1.12x, median 0.65x, win 17, pull 1, time 12