v3 cap-continuation 600k-1M VERY FRESH

Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 23 Oct · idea #3840 (ledger pending) · updated 23 Oct 17:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: cron install pending (ops); fwd n>=15

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 27 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$16.18
Trades done
6
1 up, 5 down
Best trade
5.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 600k-1M, pool age<=60m, stop .7 trail 50%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 139 trades, mean 0.83x, -$236.27 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

-$20$0trade 1 at 20 Oct 12:36 0.59x -$4.12#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 12:51 0.31x -$6.88#2trade 3 at 20 Oct 13:11 0.14x -$8.57#3trade 4 at 20 Oct 22:23 0.43x -$5.70#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 01:02 0.71x -$2.91#5trade 6 at 21 Oct 01:46 5.44x +$44.36#620 Oct21 Oct22 Oct22 Oct23 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
60x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:46$10time5.44x (+443.6%)
+$44.36
50xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee21 Oct 01:02$10trail0.71x (-29.1%)
-$2.91
40xaa397e1cdf887e57f6b3ad63025983ea82a0e6a720 Oct 22:23$10trail0.43x (-57.0%)
-$5.70
30x895cd25eeed9d74b6cbe8b0be58057bad8a3908820 Oct 13:11$10trail0.14x (-85.7%)
-$8.57
20x5f053eaf6fbf73c722e0ce690d1c5a26ddae164c20 Oct 12:51$10trail0.31x (-68.8%)
-$6.88
10x32f3590b77e2ee6d624f21e86010e43168d5336e20 Oct 12:36$10trail0.59x (-41.2%)
-$4.12
Full Test Manager report
# v3cf2 paper (testmgr4) 23 Oct 10:02 UTC
600k-1M VERY FRESH (age<=60m) hunt 1-3M. Open legs 0.
- H: n 145, mean 0.85x, median 0.65x, win 15, pull 0, time 3