v3 cap-continuation 300-600k ultrawide stop .5 trail 70%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #731 · updated 23 Oct 17:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay n235 1.26x (no look-ahead); decide by 25 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$17.76
Trades done
10
3 up, 7 down
Best trade
1.8x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, +15s entry, stop .5, trail 70% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 235 trades, mean 1.26x, +$600.77 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

-$10$0trade 1 at 21 Oct 18:09 0.81x -$1.92#1trade 2 at 21 Oct 19:17 0.81x -$1.87#2trade 3 at 22 Oct 04:49 1.56x +$5.65#3trade 4 at 22 Oct 05:13 0.34x -$6.65#4trade 5 at 22 Oct 11:28 0.48x -$5.23#5trade 6 at 22 Oct 16:02 0.46x -$5.38#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 20:17 1.78x +$7.83#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 23:59 1.06x +$0.63#8trade 9 at 23 Oct 07:00 0.46x -$5.37#9trade 10 at 23 Oct 08:03 0.46x -$5.45#1017:5905:4717:3505:2417:12
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
100x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 08:03$10trail0.46x (-54.5%)
-$5.45
90x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 07:00$10trail0.46x (-53.7%)
-$5.37
80x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:59$10trail1.06x (+6.3%)
+$0.63
70xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:17$10time1.78x (+78.3%)
+$7.83
60x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 16:02$10trail0.46x (-53.8%)
-$5.38
50x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:28$10trail0.48x (-52.3%)
-$5.23
40x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b22 Oct 05:13$10trail0.34x (-66.5%)
-$6.65
30xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:49$10trail1.56x (+56.5%)
+$5.65
20x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:17$10trail0.81x (-18.7%)
-$1.87
10x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 18:09$10time0.81x (-19.2%)
-$1.92
Full Test Manager report
# v3capz paper (testmgr) 23 Oct 10:02 UTC
H 300-600k stop .5 trail 70% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 245, mean 1.24x, median 0.47x, win 32, pull 8, time 15