v3 cap-continuation 600k-1M ultrawide stop .4 trail 60%
Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #738 · updated 23 Oct 17:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay honest; decide by 25 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$10.44
Trades done
5
1 up, 4 down
Best trade
1.1x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 600k-1M, +15s entry, stop .4, trail 60% of peak, hunt 3M+
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 191 trades, mean 0.93x, -$141.23 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d84964 | 23 Oct 01:20 | $10 | trail | 0.69x (-31.3%) -$3.13 |
| 4 | 0xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b8 | 22 Oct 22:38 | $10 | time | 0.93x (-7.1%) -$0.71 |
| 3 | 0x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f | 22 Oct 14:49 | $10 | trail | 0.71x (-29.3%) -$2.93 |
| 2 | 0xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda6 | 22 Oct 04:59 | $10 | trail | 1.07x (+7.0%) +$0.70 |
| 1 | 0x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa | 21 Oct 20:05 | $10 | trail | 0.56x (-43.7%) -$4.37 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capd1 paper (testmgr) 23 Oct 10:02 UTC H 600k-1M stop .4 trail 60% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0. - H: n 196, mean 0.92x, median 0.50x, win 22, pull 2, time 10