v3 cap-continuation 300-600k ultrawide stop .4 trail 60%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #733 · updated 23 Oct 17:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay honest; decide by 25 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$4.38
Trades done
10
4 up, 6 down
Best trade
2.1x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, +15s entry, stop .4, trail 60% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 235 trades, mean 0.95x, -$107.31 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$10trade 1 at 21 Oct 18:09 0.81x -$1.92#1trade 2 at 21 Oct 19:17 1.09x +$0.87#2trade 3 at 22 Oct 04:49 2.10x +$10.96#3trade 4 at 22 Oct 05:13 0.34x -$6.65#4trade 5 at 22 Oct 11:28 0.63x -$3.69#5trade 6 at 22 Oct 16:02 0.43x -$5.69#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 20:17 1.78x +$7.83#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 23:59 1.44x +$4.40#8trade 9 at 23 Oct 07:00 0.46x -$5.37#9trade 10 at 23 Oct 08:03 0.49x -$5.12#1017:5905:4717:3505:2417:12
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
100x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 08:03$10trail0.49x (-51.2%)
-$5.12
90x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 07:00$10trail0.46x (-53.7%)
-$5.37
80x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:59$10trail1.44x (+44.0%)
+$4.40
70xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:17$10time1.78x (+78.3%)
+$7.83
60x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 16:02$10trail0.43x (-56.9%)
-$5.69
50x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:28$10trail0.63x (-36.9%)
-$3.69
40x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b22 Oct 05:13$10trail0.34x (-66.5%)
-$6.65
30xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:49$10trail2.10x (+109.6%)
+$10.96
20x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:17$10trail1.09x (+8.7%)
+$0.87
10x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 18:09$10time0.81x (-19.2%)
-$1.92
Full Test Manager report
# v3capa1 paper (testmgr) 23 Oct 10:02 UTC
H 300-600k stop .4 trail 60% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 245, mean 0.95x, median 0.54x, win 51, pull 7, time 9