{"ts":1791182348,"bkk":"05 Oct 13:39","state":"COOLING","risk":"off","macro":{"state":"COOLING","date":"05 Oct","index":0.11,"off_45d_high":-0.778,"index_vs_20d_avg":-0.295,"fell_40pct_recently":true,"btc_above_50d":true,"old_coins_waking_3d":10,"waking_normal_3d":13.0,"waking_needed_3d":39,"new_launch_crossings_3d":75,"fees_7d_vs_28d":0.56,"changes":[{"day":20646,"date":"12 Jul","from":"COLD","to":"HEATING","idx":1.779},{"day":20648,"date":"14 Jul","from":"HEATING","to":"COOLING","idx":2.137},{"day":20650,"date":"16 Jul","from":"COOLING","to":"TOO HOT","idx":1.733},{"day":20652,"date":"18 Jul","from":"TOO HOT","to":"COOLING","idx":2.09},{"day":20689,"date":"24 Aug","from":"COOLING","to":"HEATING","idx":0.258},{"day":20696,"date":"31 Aug","from":"HEATING","to":"TOO HOT","idx":0.449},{"day":20708,"date":"12 Sep","from":"TOO HOT","to":"COOLING","idx":0.292}],"rules":"v3 HEATING = coin index closes back above its 20 day average after a 40%+ fall, with BTC above its 50 day average. (Old rule, kept as receipt: old coins (3+ days old) waking past $500k (first time or revived after 3+ days under) at 3x their normal 3 day count (min 12) while index 40%+ under 45d high. TOO HOT = fees 7d > 1.5x 28d and new-launch crossings > 2x old ones.","extras":{"active_wallets_7d":352664,"active_wallets_60d_low":243738,"active_wallets_60d_high":714850,"wallets_vs_low":0.447,"users_capitulated":false,"deribit_funding_7d":0.00054,"rising_venue":"Uniswap V4","rising_venue_share":0.397,"rising_venue_share_prev":0.317,"venue_breakout":false},"ts":1791179228},"short_term_off":{"state":"PEAKING","S":1.505},"why":"The big run is over. Buy again only when coins climb back above their 20 day average (now -30% vs it) while BTC is above its 50 day average.","receipts":{"h":1791180000,"S":1.5054,"z_breadth":1.7048,"z_b24":1.1636,"z_dd72":1.6478,"breadth":0.4719,"breadth6":0.476,"breadth24":0.4624,"turn":0.0136,"b24":-0.0023,"b168":-0.1675,"dd72":-0.0386,"ema200":-0.1085,"members":765,"coins_with_bars":765,"data_age_min":39.1,"raw_state":"PEAKING","flow24_buy_share":0.505,"flow24_buyers_vs_sellers":1.234,"flow24_coins":214,"fomo_fills":433,"fomo_buyers":229,"fomo_fills_per_hour":3720,"escrow_eth":287877.91,"escrow_delta":0.2},"model":"chainbrain-v1.3-macro","stale_after":1791185048,"note":"If now > stale_after, treat risk as off."}